Using the (classic) economic definition, we have been in recovery for some time. Yeah, I realize unemployment and housing still have not recovered. But it will take years to clear the stock of unsold and foreclosed homes. And unless we are to undertake what some would call "socialist solutions", only as the demand picks up will the supply decrease... and
then housing prices will begin to stabilize. As for unemployment, banks are still hoarding money and companies are doing the same. Consumer confidence is down/falling, and so there is little reason to hire people, when it makes more sense to just work overtime and deal with any upward blips in demand that way.
But the recovery is showing signs of weakness now. Which is why it infuriates me that we're wasting time trying to decide whether or not we want to permanently harm this country's credit rating, drive up interest rates and go back into recession... all because some of us can't understand that if you charge something on the nation's credit card, you have to pay the bill on time.
IMO, the economy (GDP) will pick up a fair amount in Q3... UNLESS the rascals in Congress manage to fuck it up for everybody. I would do the $3.0 trillion +/- in cuts, drop the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy, close the most egregious loopholes, up the debt ceiling and get back to business. But these people seem too stupid to run an ice cream stand in front of a rich private school on a hot summer day. Somehow, they'd manage to fuck up even that simple
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